Malcolm Gibson
His University
of Kansas site
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"Aha, this probably contains
an error! I must check it carefully."
The Easy Numbers Checking the accuracy of some quantitative information requires no more than fifth-grade arithmetic and the determination to be careful. Such is true for these types of errors: Inconsistency:The
numbers need to be consistent with the other information given.
Six of one, half
dozen of another? Similar problems often arise when these
types of topics are noted in stories. Always make sure, even if you have
to use your fingers and toes to do the counting.
Nonsense:Insist
that numbers and the terms accompanying them make sense to you.
Time is of the essence. A story states, The average wait for a new driver's license in Lawrence is 90 minutes, compared to the state average of an hour and a half. (Because these compared intervals are the same, there likely is an error here. Otherwise, the sentence should be recast to note that the wait in Lawrence is the same as the state average.) Hmmm, a new twist on crime. Another story states, of Topeka's 965 victims of serious crime last year, 321 were arrested. (An alert copy editor should quickly detect the absurdity here; crime victims should not be subject to arrest.) Now that's a bargain! Too frequently a reporter will write something like this: The new hospital is expected to cost between $26 and $31 million. (A good copy editor immediately notes that no hospital can be built for $26 and thus edits the story to say between $26 million and $31 million.) Note: This is a common error because of the way we speak. But what’s OK in conversation is not always OK in writing, and this is one of those cases. Bright kid? An obituary says Mrs. Jane Doe, who died in 1997 at age 81, was graduated from the University of Kansas in 1926. The alert copy editor does the math, realizes that Mrs. Doe likely did not graduate from the university at age 10 and consults the reporter to determine which piece of data needs to be corrected.
Some efforts to correct the numbers in news and feature stories require a bit of specific knowledge. Especially notable are these: Percentages:
Sometimes raw numbers fail to reflect significance. Is an increase of 500
a large increase? The answer, of course, is that it depends on the context.
Percent Calculation: The calculation of a percentage simply involves dividing the part by the whole. For instance, the 1992 U.S. national budget was $1,322 billion, and the defense department portion of that budget was $268 billion. To determine what percent the defense budget was of the total budget, we calculate as follows: % = "part" divided by the "whole"
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of total budget |
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20 percent |
| Note that we convert
the mathematical answer .2027231 to a percentage by moving the decimal
point two places to the right. Usually it also aids reader understanding
to round the percentage off to a whole number, if doing so does not mislead
or erode credibility.
Percent Change Calculation: The formula for calculating a percent increase or decrease involves one additional element. Remember that here you are calculating the percentage of change from the original number. Thus, you first must calculate the amount of the change. Then you divide that amount of change by the original number. To determine how much the price of gasoline has increased in a month from $1.09 to $1.19, we calculate as follows: |
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change |
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divided by old price |
% of old price |
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divided by $1.09 |
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9% increase |
| What if the price of gas went down, not up, and you needed to calculate the percent of change? The same applies -- except this time the "part" number is the larger of the two. (When we talk of 'part" and "whole" number in dealing with percentages, we really are talking about the new number or the number that changed ("part") against the original or old number ("whole") before a change.) So, if gas went from $1.19 to $1.09, you would do the following: |
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change |
= |
divided by old price |
% of old price |
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divided by $1.19 |
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8% decrease |
| When you see a percentage in
a story, recalculate it. If the story does not contain adequate data for
such a calculation, ask the reporter for the needed specifics. In most
instances, those specifics also belong in the story, so you should insert
them. And, again, don't make the reader do percentages if percentages are
important to the story. You do them for the reader.
Warning! Beware
when comparing percentages. Be careful not to confuse yourself or
the reader when a story compares two or more percentages.
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change |
= |
divided by old % |
% of old price |
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divided by 68 |
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6% increase |
| Opinion Polls:Stories
about opinion polls often are misleading because the reporter and the copy
editor did not exercise adequate care. Some of that care should be focused
on checking the numbers using techniques mentioned earlier, and some care
should be aimed at ensuring that certain key questions about the poll are
answered, including these:
1. When and how was the survey done? 2. How many were interviewed? 3. Who paid for it? 4. What is the margin for error? Margin for Error:Any
opinion survey worthy of a news story has been analyzed by the pollsters
in ways that yield what is called a margin for error. This simply refers
to the difference between the results obtained from the survey sample and
the results that would have been obtained if the entire group (i.e., every
student at the University of Kansas or all the females between 25 and 35
in Oklahoma) had been questioned.
In addition
to being accurate, numbers should be presented clearly and simply.
It should
be clear from these observations that an effective copy editor must have
easy access to a calculator at all times. Many newsroom computer systems
include calculator capabilities. Where computer calculations are not available,
use a hand calculator.
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